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Detailed 2022 Conference Agenda

May 10-13, 2022 - San Diego Mission Bay Resort
All times listed in North American Pacific Daylight Savings Time, PDT (UTC-7:00).
Detailed Agenda
18:00 – 19:30 Ice Breaker & Registration Opens
Pipeline Simulation Interest Group Annual Meeting 2022 Sessions
Wednesday, May 11, 2022
8:15 – 8:30 Welcome and Introductions
8:30 – 8:55 Keynote Address – Decarbonization and the Planning of Gas Systems in California
Aleecia Gutierrez
(California Energy Commission)
8:55 – 9:35 PSIG 2201 – Development of a Simple Statistical Model for the Prediction of Gas Hydrate Formation Conditions
Jai Krisha Sahith Sayani, Georgios Kolliopoulos, Srinivasa Rao Pedapati, Venkateswara Rao Maireddi (ULaval)
9:35 – 10:15 PSIG 2202 – Modeling Check Valve Closure Behaviors During Transients in Pipelines
Guohua Li, Daniel Tillema, Michelle Moyer, Hamid Bidmus (DNV)

The paper determined the closing time of a check valve in a pipeline system, using the dynamic characteristics of the check valve and the transient characteristics of the system. It demonstrated the effects of various closing times on the resulting surge/transient pressures. It also discussed the impacts of check valve chains on transients and the reopening phenomenon under three check valve configurations.

10:15 – 10:30 Break
10:30 – 11:10 PSIG 2203 – Proactive Parametric Studies Drive System Intelligence and Practical Gas Business Benefits
Rick Brown (Consultant), Anthony Resto (PG&E)

We will describe an in-house developed software application that uses DNV’s Solver and Python programming language to proactively perform various parametric hydraulic studies. We will discuss the deep system intelligence gained from the comprehensive data provided by thousands of hydraulic results along with multiple study types performed and the highly valued, practical business benefits obtained. We will also discuss the application’s potential use for retiring gas facilities as demand drops due to building electrification.

11:10 – 11:50 PSIG 2204 – Predictive Model for Particle Transport Velocities in Multiphase Gas-Liquid Flows Using Artificial Intelligence
Ronald E. Vieira, Siamack A. Shirazi (University of Tulsa)

In this study, machine learning (ML) algorithms are utilized to predict the minimum flow rates required to transport sand particles successfully in intermittent and stratified gas-liquid flow regimes in pipelines. The models predict the value of critical velocities in pipes via ML using accessible parameters as inputs, namely, sand concentration, pipe diameter, pipe inclination, liquid and gas properties, particle size and density. The predictive abilities of the models are further validated by comparing their performance with well-established mechanistic models based on empirical correlations. The results indicate that the proposed method gives comparable or even higher scores by contrast to correlations and mechanistic models for multiphase flow, while it is significantly faster and could be easily employed for industrial applications.

11:50 – 13:20 Lunch
13:20 – 13:50 Chairman’s Session
13:50 – 14:05 Scholarship Award Presentation
14:05 – 14:35 Vendor’s Commercial Sessions
14:35 – 14:50 Break
14:50 – 15:30 PSIG 2205 – Gas Pipeline Transient Modeling Via Transfer Functions: Field Data Validations
Cody Allen, Rainer Kurz, Roman Zamotorin, Avneet Singh (Solar Turbines Incorporated), Mauricio de Oliveira (University of California, San Diego)

The paper will primarily focus on taking field data from a Solar customer across a segment of their pipeline to see how transients play out in data, at various sampling rates: 10 sec, 1 min, 10 min, etc. We will use the most interesting transients in the data as examples in the paper. We will then setup the transients in the modeling framework we presented last year and compare results. We believe that getting actual, high fidelity field data out into the public domain will greatly benefit modelers and operators alike.

15:30 – 16:10 PSIG 2206 – Introduction of a Trajectory-Based Mechanistic Model to Multiphase Flows for Predicting Solid Particle Erosion in Elbows
Farzin Darihaki, Jun Zhang, Ronald E. Vieira, Siamack A. Shirazi (University of Tulsa)

Erosion damage caused by solid particles in multiphase flows can affect the operation and integrity of fluid transport pipeline systems. Amongst available approaches for predicting erosion, mechanistic models provide reliable predictions under various conditions with a low calculation time. The purpose of this study is to develop a novel mechanistic model for predicting erosion in multiphase flows which is based on the trajectory of particles and the characteristics of various upward vertical flow regimes. Computational models are used to construct a trajectory-based model in a three-dimensional domain of the elbow geometry which describes the flow around the particles. Flow regimes such as bubbly flow, churn flow, annular flow, and mist flow are characterized and applied to the trajectory-based model. The validity of the proposed model is examined using a large number of experimental erosion data from previous studies and comparing with the available mechanistic models from the literature suggests that the new model can provide more accurate predictions for gas-dominated flow and high liquid rate conditions.

Thursday, May 12, 2022
Leak Modeling, Detection and DRA Symposium
9:00 – 9:40 PSIG 2207 – Estimation of Flow Rate and Accumulated Released Volume of a Leak in Pipeline Systems
Noorallah Rostamy, John D. Yurhevich, Hamid Bidmus, Steven J. Polasik (DNV), Arun Jain (Saudi Aramco)

This paper presents approaches for calculating leak rates through a pipe hole/crack of various sizes and shapes. Also, methods are presented for estimation of the total released volume during the time that the pipeline was leaking. The presentation will discuss the methodologies including hydraulic simulations used for leak rate and released volume calculations. The effect of pipe operating pressure on the pipe crack opening area will be discussed.

9:40 – 10:20 PSIG 2208 – DRA Performance Predictions, Steady-State to Pseudo Steady-State Behaviors
Bill Ma (Phillips 66)

This paper discusses the use of the shear stress-based analysis approach to predict the DRA degradation performance in real operational scenarios for different fluid properties (viscosity, density, wax and other impurity contents), pipeline characteristics (diameter and length) and flow rates. The maximum drag reduction empirical formula based on Virk’s asymptote theory is generated as preliminary drag reduction potential assessment. Some rules of thumb formulas are provided for drag reduction gain and loss calculations as practical references. When the shear stress acting at the pipe wall exceeds a specific threshold, the DRA behavior is depicted as the pseudo steady-state condition, in which the time variable will be introduced to define a kind of dynamic drag reduction phenomenon. The presentation will discuss this DRA performance prediction method, rationale and key findings.

10:20 – 10:35 Break
10:35 – 11:15 PSIG 2209 – A Process for Selection of Leak Detection Systems for a Pipeline
Noorallah Rostamy, John D. Yurchevich, Hamid Bidmus (DNV), Stephen Guenther, Jared A. Bevevino, (Buckeye Partners L.P.)

This paper presents a process for selecting the best suited leak detection system on a segment of a pipeline by considering factors including complexity of the pipeline physical configuration, diversity of pipeline materials and characteristics, different instrumentation and communication equipment, regulatory deadlines, etc. Using actual industrial data, the presentation will discuss the leak detection system selection process and will introduce a risk assessment model used for prioritizing the implementation of the leak detection system on pipe segments.

11:15 – 11:55 PSIG 2210 – Considering Coupling Distributed Temperature Sensing with Real Time Transient Modeling for Leak Detection
Ed Nicholas (Nicholas Simulation Services), Alex De Joode (AP Sensing)

Distributed Temperature Sensing (DTS) using fiber optic cable can provide continuous temperature monitoring along pipelines. Real Time Transient Models (RTTM) continuously calculate the propagation of fluid and fluid transients through a pipeline. Both DTS and RTTMs are used for pipeline leak detection and leak location: DTS by detecting and locating temperature changes caused escaping fluid into the ground and RTTMs by computing mass imbalances and locating the leak in the pipeline. This paper examines the potential benefits of loosely coupling DTS and RTTM to enhance each’s leak detection.

11:55 – 13:25 Lunch
13:25 – 14:05 PSIG 2211 – Case Study for DRA Performance in Refined Product Pipelines
Jianzhi Ge, Arun Jain (Saudi Aramco)

Field experience shows that the estimated DRA dosage can be underestimated, and predicted DRA performance does not always match actual field performance. This paper presents two DRA application cases in refined product pipelines, in which the actual DRA performance achieved was lower than predicted. The causes for deviation were studied, and mitigations for meeting the target flowrates were proposed.

14:05 – 14:45 PSIG 2212 – A Simplified Lagrangian Approach to Leak Detection
Abu Maqsud, Shawn Learn, Yue Cheng (TC Energy)

Pipelines that have intermittent flow, can often be a difficult for a Leak Detection System (LDS) to manage reliably without causing issues with sensitivity. The LDS’s for these pipelines often require significant effort to tune and re-tune. The writers of this paper developed a highly reliable and robust LDS that automatically adapts to changes in pipeline operations. The model uses a simplified linepack model using a LaGrangian frame of reference to track the fluid elements along the pipeline. In addition a simplified Newtonian cooling heat transfer model was developed. This Newtonian cooling model continuously adapts, using feedback from temperature data and slack estimates from previous pipeline start-ups. The LDS is currently in use on one pipeline, and the result is a very sensitive system, where the cause of all false alarms to date have been identified and removed.

14:45 – 15:00 Break
15:00 – 15:45 PSIG 2213 – Offline Monitoring Method for a Natural Gas City Gate Station Odorization System
Lapo Cheli, Carlo Carcasci (University of Florence), Lorenzo Busi (Centria S.r.l)

This paper deals with natural gas odorization for leak detection tasks in gas networks. The presentation will discuss the development of a machine learning model for monitoring the odorization system at a city gate station in Italy.

18:00 – 19:30 Reception
Energy Transition Symposium
9:00 – 9:40 PSIG 2214 – Energy Transition Trends in Natural Gas Planning
Melissa Debevc (Enbridge)

Energy transition is required to meet the world’s climate change goals. Early pro-active consideration and out of the box thinking are needed to successfully navigate to the energy transition future. Natural gas utilities and pipeline companies have infrastructure well positioned to adapt. This paper will discuss learnings and challenges facility planning engineers should consider when modelling hydrogen, renewable natural gas, building electrification, advanced metering, banning or restricting natural gas usage, forecasting and integrated resource planning.

9:40 – 10:20 PSIG 2215 – Injecting Hydrogen Into Natural Gas Pipelines At A Constrained Solar Farm For Transportation Fuel
Jacob Brouwer, Clinton Thai (University of California, Irvine)

To improve project economic viability of an electrolyzer at a utility-scale solar farm, Low Carbon Fuel Standard pathways by means of utilizing the natural gas system in California is proposed and evaluated. This paper contextualizes the carbon footprint of these novel pathways featuring hydrogen injection compared to producing hydrogen via steam methane reformation.

10:20 – 10:35 Break
10:35 – 11:15 PSIG 2216 – A Study of the Effect on Pipeline Operations of the Addition of Hydrogen to Natural Gas
Trent Brown (evoleap, LLC), Ivor Ellul (CiSK Ventures, Ltd.), Michael Zaldivar (evoleap, LLC), Tan Tran (evoleap, LLC)

Adding hydrogen to natural gas in pipelines necessitates an investigation into material selection to avoid hydrogen embrittlement, the design of compressors for hydrogen mixture combustion, efficient separation of hydrogen/natural gas mixtures, and changes in pipeline operations. The paper comprises the result of studies related to the prediction of fluid properties, primarily density, steady-state pipeline operations, focusing on the effect of increasing hydrogen on capacity, compression requirements, and heat transfer. The effect of increasing hydrogen content on the transient operations of packing and unpacking is also considered.

11:15 – 11:55 PSIG 2217 – Effects of Hydrogen Admixtures on Pipeline Capacity
Martin Styblo, Vit Meiser, Marko Haulis (SIMONE Research Group, s.r.o.)

Several cases of the pipeline system capacity studies (transmission, distribution and low-pressure networks) are presented to show the impact, and to show and explain the phenomena experienced, including both theoretical background as well as practical simulations.

11:55 – 13:25 Lunch
13:25 – 14:05 PSIG 2218 – Intrinsic Leakage Reduction of a Natural Gas Distribution Network by Regulating the Outlet Pressure of a City Gate Station
Gabriele Guzzo, Carlo Carcasci (University of Florence), Lorenzo Busi (Centria S.r.l)

This paper discusses the intrinsic leakage reduction that can be achieved by regulating the outlet pressure of a City Gate Station. The presentation will discuss the theoretical approach used to estimate the amount of avoidable leakage in a medium pressure distribution network located in Italy.

14:05 – 14:45 PSIG 2219 – Compression Requirements for Carbon Reduction Efforts
Matt Lubomirsky, Roman Zamotorin, Avneet Singh, Rainer Kurz (Solar Turbines Incorporated)

In the context of carbon reduction efforts, discussions evolve around hydrogen compression, as well as compression requirements related to CO2 capture, transportation and sequestration. The study includes realistic descriptions of the necessary compressor designs for the compression of CO2 from the capture point to the pressures needed for transport. The compression of Hydrogen, either as pure Hydrogen, or as Hydrogen-Natural gas mixture, as well as considerations on transporting the gas in pipelines are studied and presented.

14:45 – 15:00 Break
15:00 – 15:40 PSIG 2220 – Gas Decarbonization in California – Building Electrification’s Expected Impacts on Gas System Throughput and Hydraulic Analysis Methodologies
Rick Brown (Consultant), Karen Lee (PG&E)

The paper will review natural gas system decarbonization proposals and efforts in California. An overview of various gas decarbonization approaches including hydrogen, renewable natural gas, and building electrification will be provided. The remainder of the paper will discuss building electrification to reduce or eliminate gas use and the expected impacts on gas throughput, revenue, and gas rates. The need to retire portions of the gas system to reduce costs and manage gas rates will be discussed. The paper will conclude with a review of the complex hydraulic analyses needed to identify gas system retirement and the potential use of parametric studies to perform the analyses.

15:40 – 16:20 PSIG 2221 – Pipeline Operation with Hydrogen: Pulsation Considerations from Reciprocating Compressors and Vortex-Shedding
Sarah Simons (Southwest Research Institute) 

This paper will discuss the thermodynamic and mass flow changes that can occur with blending in hydrogen and how that affects pulsation frequencies, amplitudes, and pulsation control systems. Pulsations can negatively affect many areas of pipeline operation including compressors stations, metering areas, and piping hubs, and it is important to ensure that sufficient pulsation control or avoidance occurs when creating operational modifications. The theory behind pulsation control systems and vortex-shedding will be discussed in this presentation with case study examples used for illustrative purposes.

18:00 – 19:30 Reception
Friday, May 13, 2022
8:30 – 9:10 PSIG 2222 – A Comparative Study on the Implementation of Scheduling Applications on Petroleum Product Pipelines
CVSSN Prasad (Emerson), Professor K.V.Rao, (Jawaharlal Nehru Technological University), Vara Prasad Ch (University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, Dehradun)

This paper identifies the challenges in the automation of process flows in pipeline scheduling. Besides highlighting that a hybrid tool with built in strategies together with manual intervention alone can help in addressing the requirements, the paper also confronts the solution providers towards advancement of features for ease of use and effectives in scheduling pipeline activities.

9:10 – 9:50 PSIG 2223 – Simulation of Bidirectional Flows in a Complex Pipeline Network
Vadim Shapiro, John Hooker, Daniel Theis (Statistics & Control)

This paper discusses the challenges that arise when simulating a complex network with loops, interconnections, and circular routing. The paper will show how the model is set up mathematically and how the model reacts to different inputs for causing a change in flow direction. The paper will then take a situation encountered in the field that requires a lot of change in flow direction due to the complex network of pipelines.

9:50 – 10:05 Break
10:05 – 10:45 PSIG 2224 – Dynamic Pump and Tank Optimizer for Water Networks
Jason Modisette (Atmos International, Inc.)

The complex operations of large water pipeline networks and their tanks present a good opportunity for numerical optimization. While during normal usage these networks can be expected to more or less follow a daily cycle, an optimizer is helpful when planning maintenance, when dealing with equipment failures or supply interruptions, and in planning extensions to the pipeline network. This paper presents a complete end-to-end optimization approach which solves for tank levels, pump and regulator valve setpoints, ressures and flow rates to meet the demand schedules while obeying all operational constraints and minimizing the total power and maintenance costs. This optimizer uses multiple stages to solve different parts of the problem, applying a combination of nonlinear programming, dynamic programming, simulated annealing, and a transient hydraulic model, while taking advantage of the unique problem simplifications possible in a water network. We present the algorithm and some example scenarios, as well as some of the challenges that arose during the testing and commissioning process on a real pipeline.

10:45 – 11:25 PSIG 2225 – Speeding Up Individual Transient Simulations by Parallel Computing
Richard Carter, Jim Short, Mark Weber (DNV)

Fast turnaround on individual gas or liquid simulations can be crucial to support time critical operational or planning decisions, but complex transient simulations of large systems can be slow. Standard techniques for speeding up transient simulations via parallel computation generally require expensive low-level software rewrites. We present an a parallel method that can be applied with little-to-no modification of existing software, and present both liquid and gas pipeline examples. The method is applicable both to desktop and cloud machines, and scales to arbitrarily large pipelines.

11:25 Conference Close